Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 59.622071 67.780193 76.181777 85.447524 95.347443 105.577919 116.918907
2025-05-11 46.370555 57.854562 70.289526 84.616842 100.538145 117.568824 137.046593
2025-05-18 39.193038 52.507987 67.471339 85.248538 105.528464 127.705831 153.562533
2025-05-25 33.130482 47.530976 64.286783 84.746978 108.621251 135.215533 166.711481
2025-06-01 28.724369 43.937311 62.208822 85.062218 112.245180 142.990304 179.866336
2025-06-08 24.462738 40.029038 59.343073 84.079908 114.048580 148.431734 190.154125
2025-06-15 21.892807 38.002961 58.555133 85.397308 118.399856 156.691483 203.577451
2025-06-22 19.738927 36.295646 57.984832 86.828291 122.767129 164.883635 216.862069
2025-06-29 17.018388 33.517578 55.808358 86.060897 124.312265 169.625271 226.022797
2025-07-06 14.195287 30.280289 52.781828 84.004001 124.100708 172.137252 232.445961
2025-07-13 13.469766 30.115559 53.872552 87.246126 130.471840 182.571831 248.285525
2025-07-20 12.403719 29.305352 53.989911 89.151050 135.122956 190.902144 261.611307
2025-07-27 10.675200 27.266321 52.278883 88.574396 136.619596 195.418141 270.437875
2025-08-03 9.060470 25.218485 50.418303 87.692049 137.651633 199.318770 278.500607
2025-08-10 8.011958 24.027700 49.729194 88.342456 140.616017 205.576588 289.402996
2025-08-17 6.816160 22.397926 48.264917 87.829398 141.996229 209.817835 297.818090
2025-08-24 5.931116 21.236523 47.438648 88.151479 144.433339 215.356153 307.808212
2025-08-31 4.898434 19.597551 45.744578 87.148192 145.043354 218.546233 314.876950
2025-09-07 4.390356 19.005958 45.695982 88.493679 148.786293 225.702869 326.854516
2025-09-14 3.949394 18.495804 45.742957 89.954966 152.674180 233.043489 339.069966
2025-09-21 3.226379 17.161154 44.315331 89.171347 153.463674 236.389862 346.295128
2025-09-28 2.437935 15.431016 42.074733 87.070664 152.372862 237.262620 350.386336
2025-10-05 2.375285 15.708885 43.390214 90.381611 158.776940 247.847251 366.689951